Commentary/Policy Brief/Others
- Trump's tariffs damage the US economy more if they drive investors away from American assets By Warwick J. McKibbin, Marcus Noland and Geoffrey Shuetrim, PIIE Realtime Economics, 25 June 2025
- Leveraging Islamic Finance for Economic Resilience: The Case of Pakistan During the COVID-19 Pandemic By Syeda Arooj Naz, 23 June 2025
- The US revenue implications of President Trump's 2025 tariffs By Warwick J. McKibbin and Geoffrey Shuetrim, PIIE Briefings 25-2, April 2025
- Modeling a US-EU trade war: Tariffs won't improve US global trade balance By Warwick J. McKibbin and Marcus Noland, PIIE Realtime Economics, 24 March 2025
- Trump's threatened tariffs projected to harm economies of US and the BRICS By Warwick J. McKibbin and Marcus Noland, PIIE Realtime Economics, 11 March 2025
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US tariffs on Canada and Mexico would hurt all three economies; retaliation would worsen the damage By Warwick J. McKibbin and Marcus Noland, Realtime Economics, PIIE on 4 February 2025
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Trump's threatened tariffs projected to damage economies of US, Canada, Mexico, and China By Warwick J. McKibbin and Marcus Noland, Realtime Economics, PIIE on 17 January 2025
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Trump’s policies would hurt the US while boosting most other economies By Anjali V. Bhatt, Megan Hogan, Warwick J. McKibbin and Marcus Noland, Realtime Economics, PIIE, 21 October 2024
Mass deportations would harm the US economy By Anjali V. Bhatt, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland and Warwick J. McKibbin, Realtime Economics, PIIE, 26 September 2024
How much would Trump's plans for deportations, tariffs, and the Fed damage the US economy? By Warwick J. McKibbin, Megan Hogan and Marcus Noland, Realtime Economics, PIIE, 26 September 2024
Australia’s cost-of-living crisis has reached a critical juncture By Warwick McKibbin, Australian Financial Review, 10 June 2024
No, the RBA review won’t mean handing the bank’s decisions to part-time outsiders By Renee Fry-McKibbin, The Conversion, 22 September 2023
To Bring down Imported inflation, interest rates must rise back to normal By Warwick McKibbin, 27 February 2023
Dual mandate’s purpose is making monetary trade-offs transparent By Renee Fry-McKibbin, Australian Financial Review, 30 August 2023
The Science of Flexible Retirement Choices: Switching Retirement Savings into an Annuity By Andrew Clare, James Seaton, Peter N. Smith and Stephen Thomas, 4 April 2023
A Proposal for a Decarbonization Tax Discount to Increase Australian Lithium Production to Meet Electric Vehicles and Net Zero Global Targets By Russell Smyth and Joaquin Vespignani, 15 December 2022
Why climate policy scenarios are important, how to use them, and what has been learned By Roshen Fernando, Larry Weifeng Liu and Warwick McKibbin, 27 September 2022
Australia can no longer afford to kick carbon adjustment down the road By Warwick McKibbin and Frank Jotzo, 25 October 2021
Wage subsidy was essential to save jobs during lockdowns By James Graham, 23 September 2021
A future-focused review must question Reserve Bank’s inflation target By Warwick McKibbin, 20 September 2021
How do businesses deal with uncertainty effectively? By Kamiar Mohaddes, 13 April 2021
Replace JobKeeper with a better and fairer JobMaker By Peter Downes, Renee Fry-McKibbin and Warwick McKibbin, 31 March 2021
Will Joe Biden’s stimulus plan cause the US economy to overheat? By Laurent Ferrara, 11 March 2021
Democracy Sausage: Climate, the coronavirus, and the cost of uncertainty By Helen Sulivan, Warwick McKibbin and Mark Kenny, 9 February 2021
Australia must have a new macroeconomic framework By Warwick McKibbin, 4 February 2021
The Reserve Bank of Australia is stabilising the economy By Warwick McKibbin, 4 November 2020
Podcast: Talking with the tax team about policy By Robert Breunig and others, 7 August 2020
Do you need both a checking and savings account? By Sherrill Shaffer, 2020 (updated 9 August 2023)
Strenthening JobKeeper By Robert Breunig and Timothy Watson, 16 June 2020
Macroeconomic frameworks need urgent review By Warwick McKibbin, Richard Holden and John Quiggin, 7 May 2020
Simple steps to reduce the odds of a global catastrophe By Warwick McKibbin and David Levine, 20 February 2020
As wage growth picks up, the Fed needs to be careful about overreacting By Nick Bunker and Tara Sinclair, 22 January 2020
Good policy needs good data By Warwick McKibbin and Robert Breunig, 7 November 2019
We must not politicise the RBA By Warwick McKibbin and Bruce Preston, 20 September 2019
Tweeting the world into a slump By Warwick McKibbin, 12 August 2019
Podcast: The Auspolicy issue – what the country voted for By Allen L, Burke P, Hewson J, McKibbin W, Cotton B, Grafton Q and Ahrens J, 24 May 2019
Policy matters more than targets By Warwick McKibbin, 24 April 2019
How should technocrats count the true costs of cooling the climate? By Warwick McKibbin, 31 March 2019
The theory that’s too good to be true By Warwick McKibbin, 15 March 2019
The US Labor Market Is Changing Fast — But Job Seekers Are Keeping Up By Martha Gimbel and Tara Sinclair, 20 September 2018
Is Australia ready for the next GFC? By Warwick McKibbin, 10 September 2018
The Perils of Nationalism in Global Finance By Chiara Oldani, 29 May 2018
How countries could respond to Trump’s Trade War By Warwick McKibbin, 6 March 2018
Lost Inflations? By Rod Tyers and Yixiao Zhou, January 2018
Short-term gain, long-term pain By Warwick McKibbin and Andrew Stoeckel, 20 December 2017
The health system is still awaiting modernisation By Philip Clark and Warwick McKibbin, 4 October 2017
Trump’s economic plan would be hostage to the almighty dollar - The fraught road ahead for the President’s economic agenda By Warwcick McKibbin, 28 April 2017
An uncertain future: Surging US Dollar may shape the world’s fortunes in 2017 By Warwick McKibbin, 1 March 2017
Climate storm shows political failure By Warwick McKibbin, 16 December 2016
The US shale oil revolution requires major reforms in the macroeconomic policy frameworks and institutions in the MENA region By Kamiar Mohaddes and Mehdi Raissi, 21 December 2016
Unreal interest rates will not create real demand By Warwick McKibbin, 24 February 2016
Big carbon cuts need new policy framework By Warwick McKibbin, 2 December 2015
Acting on interest rate uncertainty By Warwick McKibbin, 19 September 2015
Targets put Australia in front of climate fight By Warwick McKibbin, 1 September 2015
Keeping the status quo is no longer an option By Warwick McKibbin, 17 March 2015
Short term pain, long term gain By Warwick McKibbin, 1 July 2015
Getting better by design By Warwick McKibbin, 12 August 2014
Working Papers
Working Papers
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Warwick J. McKibbin, Marcus Noland and Geoffrey Shuetrim, The global economic effects of Trump's 2025 tariffs, PIIE Working Paper 25-13, June 2025.
- Roshen Fernando and Warwick J. McKibbin, Global economic impacts of antimicrobial resistance, PIIE Working Paper 25-12, June 2025.
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Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan and Marcus Noland, The International Economic Implications of a Second Trump Presidency, PIIE Working Paper 24-20, September 2024.
- McKibbin W and Sidorenko AA, Global Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic Influenza (PDF 747kb), Lowy Institute for International Policy, February 2006 (CAMA WP 26/2006).
- Lee J-W and McKibbin W, Globalization and Disease: The case of SARS, Asian Economic Papers, 2004, vol. 3, issue 1, 113-131 (CAMA WP 16/2003).
- Stoeckel A and McKibbin W, The SARS outbreak: How bad could it get? Economic Scenarios.com, Issue 5, 2003.
Reports
- Global Economic Prospects, June 2025, led by M. Ayhan Kose, World Bank.
- 2024 REGIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT - Making Our Future: New Directions for Human Development in Asia and the Pacific, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). The report was prepared by staff at the UNDP Regional Bureau for Asia and the Pacific (RBAP), with contributions by academics and consultants. Dr Sudyumna Dahal (CAMA PhD graduate) and Prof Markus Brueckner (CAMA Research Associate) were the core contributors to the Report.
- RBA Review - Final Report: An RBA fit for the future, Carolyn A. Wilkins, Renée Fry-McKibbin and Gordon de Brouwer, 20 April 2023.
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Chapter 2: Climate Policies and External Adjustment, Rudolfs Bems, Luciana Juvenal, Warwick McKibbin and Weifeng Liu, in External Sector Report, Pandemic, War, and Global Imbalances 2022, International Monetary Fund, 04 Aug 2022.
- Comments on In Retrospect: Monetary Policy in New Zealand 2017-22, Warwick McKibbin, RBNZ Review, 10 November 2022.
Book Chapters
- Renee Fry-McKibbin and Carolyn A. Wilkins (2024), Part I: Monetary policy responses in advanced economies, in Monetary Policy Responses to the Post-Pandemic Inflation, edited by Bill English Kristin Forbes Ángel Ubide, CEPR Press, 13 Feb 2024.
- Warwick McKibbin and Roshen Fernando (2020), The economic impact of COVID-19, in Economics in the time of COVID-19, edited by Richard Baldwin Beatrice Weder di Mauro, CEPR Press, 6 Mar 2020.
CAMA Blog
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Inflation may be finally falling, but it is not clear that trend inflation has peaked, Benjamin Wong, 15 February 2023
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From low to high inflation: Implications for emerging market and developing economies, Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, and Franziska Ohnsorge, 8 April 2022
- Australia can no longer afford to kick carbon adjustment down the road - Preparing for a low-carbon world economy, Warwick McKibbin and Frank Jotzo, 25 October 2021
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A future-focused review must question Reserve Bank’s inflation target - The RBA should welcome a review, Warwick McKibbin, 20 September 2021
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Replace JobKeeper with a better and fairer JobMaker - Improving Australia’s income support system, Peter Downes, Renee Fry-McKibbin and Warwick McKibbin, 31 March 2021