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  4. Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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22 April 2025

How Important Is Global R-Star for Open Economies?

Vol: 24/2025 Authors: Morley J; Wong B Year: 2025 Month: April
  • Morley
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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12 May 2025

Learning, Heuristics and Anchored Inflation: How Do Different Types of Consumer Change Their Minds about Inflation?

Vol: 28/2025 Authors: Lee K; Nguyen V; Shields K Year: 2025 Month: May
  • Lee K
  • Shields
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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07 August 2025

Nowcasting Transaction-Based House Price Indices Using Web-Scraped Listings and MIDAS Regression

Vol: 45/2025 Authors: Trojanek R; Hartigan L; Pfeifer N; Steurer M Year: 2025 Month: August
  • Hartigan
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 October 2024

Discretionary Tax Changes and Macroeconomic Activity: New Narrative Evidence from Australia

Vol: 63/2024 Authors: Changchen Ge Month: October Year: 2024
  • Ge
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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30 October 2024

The Chinese Silver Standard: Parity, Predictability, and (In)Stability, 1912–1934

Vol: 64/2024 Authors: Huachen Li, James M. Nason Month: October Year: 2024
  • Nason
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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06 February 2025

How Do Macroaggregates and Income Distribution Interact Dynamically? A Novel Structural Mixed Autoregression with Aggregate and Functional Variables

Vol: 07/2025 Authors: Chang Y; Kim S; Park JY Year: 2025 Month: February
  • Chang
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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31 March 2024

Trend-Cycle Decomposition in the Presence of Large Shocks

Vol: 24/2024 Authors: Güneş Kamber, James Morley, Benjamin Wong Month: March Year: 2024
  • Morley
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 June 2024

Re-Examining What We Can Learn About Counterfactual Results from Time Series Regression

Vol: 44/2024 Authors: Ippei Fujiwara, Adrian Pagan Month: June Year: 2024
  • Fujiwara
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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22 May 2020

Measuring Openness

Vol: 48/2020 Authors: Jean Imbs, Laurent L. Pauwels Month: May Year: 2020
  • Pauwels
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Open Economy Macroeconomics
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27 November 2023

Optimal Forecast Combination with Mean Absolute Error Loss

Vol: 59/2023 Authors: Felix Chan, Laurent Pauwels Month: November Year: 2023
  • Pauwels
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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06 December 2024

Applications of Vector Autoregressions in Their Scalar Autoregressive Component Form

Vol: 71/2024 Author name: Krippner L Year: 2024 Month: December
  • Krippner
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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31 January 2025

Dornbusch Overshooting, UIP, and the Systematic Components of Domestic and Foreign Monetary Policy in SVARs

Vol: 06/2025 Authors: Groshenny N; Javed N Year: 2025 Month: January
  • Groshenny
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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19 August 2024

How Does Tax and Transfer Progressivity Affect Household Consumption Insurance?

Vol: 52/2024 Author: Yunho Cho, James Morley, Aarti Singh Year: 2024 Month: August
  • Morley
  • Singh
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Macroeconomic Theory
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28 June 2018

Comparing Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs

Vol: 31/2018 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Eric Eisenstat Month: June Year: 2018
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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31 December 2019

Private News and Monetary Policy - Forward Guidance as Bayesian Persuasion

Vol: 91/2019 Authors: Ippei Fujiwara, Yuichiro Waki Month: December Year: 2019
  • Fujiwara
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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18 May 2020

High Moment Constraints for Predictive Density Combination

Vol: 45/2020 Authors: Laurent Pauwels, Peter Radchenko, Andrey L. Vasnev Month: May Year: 2020
  • Pauwels
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Open Economy Macroeconomics
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29 February 2024

Accounting for Individual-Specific Heterogeneity in Intergenerational Income Mobility

Vol: 18/2024 Authors: Yoosoon Chang, Steven N. Durlauf, Bo Hu, Joon Y. Park Month: February Year: 2024
  • Chang
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 January 2018

Critically Assessing Estimated DSGE Models: A Case Study of a Multi-Sector Model

Vol: 04/2018 Authors: X. Liu, A.R. Pagan, T. Robinson Month: January Year: 2018
  • Pagan
  • Robinson
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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20 August 2023

Dutch Disease, Unemployment and Structural Change

Vol: 38/2023 Authors:  Mariano Kulish, James Morley, Nadine Yamout, Francesco Zanetti Month: August Year: 2023
  • Kulish
  • Morley
  • Zanetti
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Commodities and the Macroeconomy
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14 May 2020

Financial Factors and the Business Cycle

Vol: 44/2020 Authors: Tino Berger, Julia Richter, Benjamin Wong Month: May Year: 2020
  • Berger
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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22 March 2019

An Analysis of the Global Oil Market Using SVARMA Models

Vol: 25/2019 Author: Mala Raghavan Month: March Year: 2019
  • Raghavan
  • Commodities and the Macroeconomy
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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22 July 2020

Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19

Vol: 63/2020 Authors: William D. Larson, Tara M. Sinclair Month: July Year: 2020
  • Sinclair
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • COVID-19 and the Macroeconomy
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26 May 2020

Sectoral Employment Dynamics in Australia

Vol: 51/2020 Authors: Heather Anderson, Giovanni Caggiano, Farshid Vahid, Benjamin Wong Month: May Year: 2020
  • Anderson
  • Caggiano
  • Vahid
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • COVID-19 and the Macroeconomy
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21 May 2020

Common Factors and the Dynamics of Cereal Prices: A Forecasting Perspective

Vol: 47/2020 Authors: Marek Kwas, Alessia Paccagnini, Michal Rubaszek Month: May Year: 2020
  • Paccagnini
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Commodities and the Macroeconomy
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22 September 2023

Recovering Stars in Macroeconomics

Vol: 43/2023 Authors: Daniel Buncic, Adrian Pagan, Tim Robinson Month: September Year: 2023
  • Pagan
  • Robinson
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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21 September 2020

Nowcasting the Output Gap

Vol: 78/2020 Authors: Tino Berger, James Morley, Benjamin Wong Month: August Year: 2020
  • Berger
  • Morley
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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18 December 2020

Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility

Vol: 108/2020 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Xuewen Yu Month: December Year: 2020
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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20 February 2019

Improved Methods for Combining Point Forecasts for an Asymmetrically Distributed Variable

Vol: 15/2019 Authors: Ozer Karagedikli, Shaun P. Vahey, Elizabeth C. Wakerly Month: February Year: 2019
  • Karagedikli
  • Vahey
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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28 November 2019

Checking If the Straitjacket Fits

Vol: 81/2019 Authors: Adrian Pagan, Michael Wickens Month: November Year: 2019
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 August 2020

The Asymmetric Effects of Uncertainty Shocks

Vol: 72/2020 Authors: Valentina Colombo, Alessia Paccagnini Month: August Year: 2020
  • Colombo
  • Paccagnini
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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10 January 2022

A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r*

Vol: 02/2022 Authors: James Morley, Trung Duc Tran, Benjamin Wong Month: January Year: 2022
  • Morley
  • Tran TD
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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25 July 2023

Random Subspace Local Projections

Vol: 34/2023 Authors:  Viet Hoang Dinh, Didier Nibbering, Benjamin Wong Month: July Year: 2023
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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10 February 2021

Identifying high-frequency shocks with Bayesian mixed-frequency VARs

Vol: 26/2021 Author name: Paccagnini A; Parla F Year: 2021 Month: February
  • Paccagnini
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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30 May 2023

Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters Help Predict the Shape of Recessions in Real Time?

Vol: 24/2023 Authors:  Yunjong Eo, James Morley Month: May Year: 2023
  • Eo
  • Morley
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • COVID-19 and the Macroeconomy
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12 July 2021

Sentiment and uncertainty about regulation

Vol: 54/2021 Author name: Sinclair TM; Xie Z Year: 2021 Month: July
  • Sinclair
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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28 February 2023

Oil Prices Uncertainty, Endogenous Regime Switching, and Inflation Anchoring

Vol: 14/2023 Authors:  Yoosoon Chang, Ana María Herrera, Elena Pesavento Month: February Year: 2023
  • Chang
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy
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14 October 2020

Bayesian State Space Models in Macroeconometrics

Vol: 90/2020 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Rodney W. Strachan Month: October Year: 2020
  • Chan
  • Strachan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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21 June 2019

Implications of Partial Information for Econometric Modeling of Macroeconomic Systems

Vol: 41/2019 Authors: Adrian Pagan, Tim Robinson Month: June Year: 2019
  • Pagan
  • Robinson
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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07 January 2022

Getting the ROC into Sync

Vol: 01/2022 Authors: Liu Yang, Kajal Lahiri, Adrian Pagan Month: January Year: 2022
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 March 2019

Changes in the Inflation Target and the Comovement Between Inflation and the Nominal Interest Rate

Vol: 30/2019 Authors: Yunjong Eo, Denny Lie Month: March Year: 2019
  • Eo
  • Lie
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 October 2019

Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs

Vol: 77/2019 Author: Joshua C.C. Chan Month: October Year: 2019
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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31 August 2018

Real-Time Forecast Combinations for the Oil Price

Vol: 38/2018 Authors: Anthony Garratt, Shaun P. Vahey, Yunyi Zhang Month: August Year: 2018
  • Vahey
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Commodities and the Macroeconomy
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30 August 2019

Global Factors and Trend Inflation

Vol: 62/2019 Authors: Günes Kamber, Benjamin Wong Month: August Year: 2019
  • Kamber
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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19 February 2019

The Australian Real-Time Fiscal Database: An Overview and an Illustration of its Use in Analysing Planned and Realised Fiscal Policies

Vol: 14/2019 Authors: Kevin Lee, James Morley, Kalvinder Shields, Madeleine Sui-Lay Tan Month: February Year: 2019
  • Lee K
  • Morley
  • Shields
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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19 January 2024

Common Trends and Country Specific Heterogeneities in Long-Run World Energy Consumption

Vol: 04/2024 Authors: Yoosoon Chang, Yongok Choi, Chang Sik Kim, J. Isaac Miller, Joon Y. Park Month: January Year: 2024
  • Chang
  • Micro-Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Performance
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 July 2019

Empirically-Transformed Linear Opinion Pools

Vol: 47/2019 Authors: Anthony Garratt, Timo Henckel, Shaun P. Vahey Month: July Year: 2019
  • Henckel
  • Vahey
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 January 2019

The Gains from Catch-up for China and the US: An Empirical Framework

Vol: 07/2019 Authors: Mardi Dungey, Denise R. Osborn Month: January Year: 2019
  • Dungey
  • Osborn
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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05 April 2022

Understanding Trend Inflation Through the Lens of the Goods and Services Sectors

Vol: 28/2022 Authors: Yunjong Eo, Luis Uzeda, Benjamin Wong Month: April Year: 2022
  • Eo
  • Uzeda
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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14 February 2020

State-Level Wage Phillips Curves

Vol: 08/2020 Authors: George Kapetanios, Simon Price, Menelaos Tasiou, Alexia Ventouri Month: February Year: 2020
  • Price
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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16 October 2020

Real-Time Forecasting of the Australian Macroeconomy Using Flexible Bayesian VARs

Vol: 91/2020 Authors: Bo Zhang, Bao H. Nguyen Month: October Year: 2020
  • Zhang
  • Nguyen
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • COVID-19 and the Macroeconomy
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19 December 2019

Uncertainty in a Disaggregate Model: a Data Rich Approach using Google Search Queries

Vol: 83/2019 Authors: Kalvinder Shields, Trung Duc Tran Month: December Year: 2019
  • Shields
  • Tran TD
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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26 October 2018

Reducing Dimensions in a Large TVP-VAR

Vol: 49/2018 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Eric Eisenstat, Rodney W. Strachan Month: October Year: 2018
  • Chan
  • Strachan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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18 October 2019

Turning Point and Oscillatory Cycles

Vol: 74/2019 Authors: Mariano Kulish, Adrian Pagan Month: September Year: 2019
  • Kulish
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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04 February 2021

Global uncertainty

Vol: 21/2021 Author name: Caggiano G; Castelnuovo E Year: 2021 Month: February
  • Caggiano
  • Castelnuovo
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy program
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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21 July 2023

Did Marginal Propensities to Consume Change with the Housing Boom and Bust?

Vol: 32/2023 Authors:  Yunho Cho, James Morley, Aarti Singh Month: July Year: 2023
  • Morley
  • Singh
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Macroeconomic Theory
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26 February 2019

Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions

Vol: 19/2019 Authors: Joshua C. C. Chan Month: February Year: 2019
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 June 2018

Stochastic Volatility Models with ARMA Innovations: An Application to G7 Inflation Forecasts

Vol: 32/2018 Authors: Bo Zhang, Joshua C.C. Chan, Jamie L. Cross Month: June Year: 2018
  • Zhang
  • Chan
  • Cross
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 August 2019

Minnesota-Type Adaptive Hierarchical Priors for Large Bayesian VARs

Vol: 61/2019 Author: Joshua C. C. Chan Month: August Year: 2019
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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09 March 2021

UK inflation forecasts since the thirteenth century

Vol: 32/2021 Author name: Nason JM; Smith GW Year: 2021 Month: March
  • Nason
  • Macroeconomic Theory
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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31 May 2018

Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility

Vol: 26/2018 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Eric Eisenstat, Chenghan Hou, Gary Koop Month: May Year: 2018
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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18 February 2019

Measuring the Fiscal Multiplier when Plans Take Time to Implement

Vol: 13/2019 Authors: Kevin Lee, James Morley, Kian Ong, Kalvinder Shields Month: February Year: 2019
  • Lee K
  • Morley
  • Shields
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 July 2019

Australian Macro-Econometric Models and Their Construction - A Short History

Vol: 50/2019 Author: Adrian Pagan Month: July Year: 2019
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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04 August 2021

Multivariate decompositions and seasonal gender employment

Vol: 72/2021 Author name: Tian J; Jacobs JPAM; Osborn DR Year: 2021 Month: August
  • Tian
  • Jacobs
  • Osborn
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 February 2023

To Boost or Not to Boost? That is the Question

Vol: 12/2023 Authors: Ye Lu,  Adrian Pagan Month: February Year: 2023
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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30 January 2019

Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage

Vol: 08/2019 Authors: Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop, Aubrey Poon Month: January Year: 2019
  • Poon
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 February 2020

How Wages Respond to the Job-Finding and Job-to-Job Transition Rates? Evidence from New Zealand Administrative Data

Vol: 15/2020 Authors: Christopher Ball, Nicolas Groshenny, Özer Karagedikli, Murat Özbilgin, Finn Robinson Month: February (revised in March 2022) Year: 2020
  • Groshenny
  • Karagedikli
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Macroeconomic Theory
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28 June 2019

Efficient Selection of Hyperparameters in Large Bayesian VARs Using Automatic Differentiation

Vol: 46/2019 Authors: Joshua C. C. Chan, Liana Jacobi, Dan Zhu Month: June Year: 2019
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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27 June 2019

An Automated Prior Robustness Analysis in Bayesian Model Comparison

Vol: 45/2019 Authors: Joshua C. C. Chan, Liana Jacobi, Dan Zhu Month: June Year: 2019
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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28 March 2023

Disentangling Structural Breaks in High Dimensional Factor Models

Vol: 15/2023 Authors:  Bonsoo Koo, Benjamin Wong, Ze-Yu Zhong Month: March Year: 2023
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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26 November 2020

Three Questions Regarding Impulse Responses and Their Interpretation Found from Sign Restrictions

Vol: 101/2020 Authors: Sam Ouliaris, Adrian Pagan Month: November Year: 2020
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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30 July 2019

Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs

Vol: 51/2019 Author: Joshua C. C. Chan Month: July Year: 2019
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 March 2023

An Empirical Approximation of the Effects of Trade Sanctions with an Application to Russia

Vol: 16/2023 Authors: Jean Imbs, Laurent Pauwels Year: 2023 Month: March
  • Pauwels
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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26 March 2020

Too Many Shocks Spoil the Interpretation

Vol: 28/2020 Authors: Adrian Pagan, Tim Robinson Month: March Year: 2020
  • Pagan
  • Robinson
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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19 November 2020

Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia

Vol: 99/2020 Authors: Na Guo, Bo Zhang, Jamie Cross Month: November Year: 2020
  • Zhang
  • Cross
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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09 May 2022

Shock Persistence, Uncertainty and News-Driven Business Cycles

Vol: 34/2022 Authors: Kevin Lee, Kalvinder Shields, Guido Turnip Month: May Year: 2022
  • Lee K
  • Shields
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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17 February 2023

Investigating Cycle Anatomy

Vol: 09/2023 Authors:  Max Gillman, Adrian Pagan Month: February Year: 2023
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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17 December 2018

Time Varying Cointegration and the UK Great Ratios

Vol: 53/2018 Authors: George Kapetanios, Stephen Millard, Katerina Petrova, Simon Price Month: October Year: 2018
  • Price
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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19 September 2022

Discovering Stars: Problems in Recovering Latent Variables from Models

Vol: 52/2022 Authors: Daniel Buncic, Adrian Pagan Month: September Year: 2022
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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08 October 2020

US Shocks and the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity

Vol: 87/2020 Authors: Mengheng Li, Bowen Fu Month: October Year: 2020
  • Li
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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21 December 2020

An Unobserved Components Model of Total Factor Productivity and the Relative Price of Investment

Vol: 109/2020 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Edouard Wemy Month: December Year: 2020
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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26 April 2018

International Transmissions of Aggregate Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Approach

Vol: 16/2018 Authors: Jamie L. Cross, Chenghan Hou, Aubrey Poon Month: April Year: 2018
  • Cross
  • Poon
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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17 January 2022

Stock Returns Predictability with Unstable Predictors

Vol: 04/2022 Authors: Fabio Calonaci, George Kapetanios, Simon Price Month: January Year: 2022
  • Price
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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28 September 2018

Nowcasting New Zealand GDP Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Vol: 47/2018 Authors: Adam Richardson, Thomas van Florenstein Mulder, Tugrul Vehbi Month: September Year: 2018
  • Vehbi
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy
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31 July 2017

Incorporating Relevant Multivariate Information for Characterizing Half-Life with an Application to Purchasing Power Parity

Vol: 47/2017 Author: Benjamin Wong Month: July Year: 2017
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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10 December 2020

Federal Reserve Chair Communication Sentiments’ Heterogeneity, Personal Characteristics and their Impact on Target Rate Discovery

Vol: 105/2020 Authors: Juan Arismendi-Zambrano, Massimo Guidolin, Alessia Paccagnini Month: December Year: 2020
  • Paccagnini
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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28 July 2017

Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions

Vol: 46/2017 Authors: James Morley, Benjamin Wong Month: July Year: 2017
  • Morley
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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30 May 2018

How Sensitive Are VAR Forecasts to Prior Hyperparameters? An Automated Sensitivity Analysis

Vol: 25/2018 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Liana Jacobi, Dan Zhu Month: May Year: 2018
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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28 October 2020

A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth

Vol: 93/2020 Authors: Christiane Baumeister, Pierre Guérin Month: October Year: 2020
  • Baumeister
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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21 February 2023

Financial Conditions for the US: Aggregate Supply or Aggregate Demand Shocks?

Vol: 10/2023 Authors:  Alessia Paccagnini, Fabio Parla Month: February Year: 2023
  • Paccagnini
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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29 September 2017

Inflation and Professional Forecast Dynamics: An Evaluation of Stickiness, Persistence and Volatility

Vol: 60/2017 Authors: Elmar Mertens, James M. Nason Month: September Year: 2017
  • Nason
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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30 December 2016

Trend Inflation and Exchange Rate Dynamics: A New Keynesian Approach

Vol: 74/2016 Author: Takashi Kano Month: December Year: 2016
  • Kano
  • Open Economy Macroeconomics
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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03 August 2021

Macro uncertainties and tests of capital structure theories across renewable and non-renewable resource companies

Vol: 73/2021 Author name: Irawan D; Okimoto T Year: 2021 Month: August
  • Irawan
  • Okimoto
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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09 August 2021

Conditional capital surplus and shortfall across renewable and non-renewable resource firms

Vol: 74/2021 Author name: Irawan D; Okimoto T Year: 2021 Month: August
  • Irawan
  • Okimoto
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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23 January 2017

Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter

Vol: 03/2017 Authors: Gunes Kamber, James Morley, Benjamin Wong Month: January Year: 2017
  • Kamber
  • Morley
  • Wong
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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31 October 2018

Multivariate Stochastic Volatility with Co- Heteroscedasticity

Vol: 52/2018 Authors: Joshua Chan, Arnaud Doucet, Roberto León-González, Rodney W. Strachan Month: October Year: 2018
  • Chan
  • Strachan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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27 September 2017

A UK Financial Conditions Index Using Targeted Data Reduction: Forecasting and Structural Identification

Vol: 58/2017 Authors: George Kapetanios, Simon Price, Garry Young Month: September Year: 2017
  • Price
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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26 September 2017

Trend-Cycle-Seasonal Interactions: Identification and Estimation

Vol: 57/2017 Authors: Irma Hindrayanto, Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, Denise R. Osborn, Jing Tian Month: September Year: 2017
  • Jacobs
  • Osborn
  • Tian
  • Finance and the Macroeconomy
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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22 September 2017

Tractable Likelihood-Based Estimation of Non- Linear DSGE Models

Vol: 55/2017 Author: Robert Kollmann Month: September Year: 2017
  • Kollmann
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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11 July 2016

Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?

Vol: 47/2016 Authors: Pao-Lin Tien, Tara M. Sinclair, Edward N. Gamber Month: July Year: 2016
  • Sinclair
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 July 2017

Technology and Leisure: Macro Economic Implications

Vol: 43/2017 Authors: Anil Savio Kavuri, Warwick J. McKibbin Month: July Year: 2017
  • Kavuri
  • McKibbin
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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30 June 2017

World Steel Production: A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity

Vol: 42/2017 Authors: Francesco Ravazzolo, Joaquin Vespignani Month: July Year: 2017
  • Ravazzolo
  • Vespignani
  • Commodities and the Macroeconomy
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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24 February 2017

Some Consequences of Using "Measurement Error Shocks" When Estimating Time Series Models

Vol: 12/2017 Author: Adrian Pagan Month: February Year: 2017
  • Pagan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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25 October 2017

Measuring Inflation Expectations Uncertainty Using High-Frequency Data

Vol: 61/2017 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Yong Song Month: October Year: 2017
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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15 June 2016

Assessing the Economic Value of Probabilistic Forecasts in the Presence of an Inflation Target

Vol: 40/2016 Authors: Christopher McDonald, Craig Thamotheram, Shaun P. Vahey, Elizabeth C. Wakerly Month: June Year: 2016
  • Vahey
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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20 January 2017

Measuring the Output Gap Using Stochastic Model Specification Search

Vol: 02/2017 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Angelia L. Grant Month: January Year: 2017
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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07 November 2021

Why does risk matter more in recessions than in expansions?

Vol: 83/2021 Author name: Andreasen MM; Caggiano G; Castelnuovo E; Pellegrino G Year: 2021 Month: September
  • Caggiano
  • Castelnuovo
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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08 September 2021

Does uncertainty matter for trade flows of emerging economies?

Vol: 84/2021 Author name: Groshenny N; Heid B; Sewak T Year: 2021 Month: September
  • Groshenny
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
  • Open Economy Macroeconomics program
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15 December 2021

Asymmetries in risk premia, macroeconomic uncertainty and business cycles

Vol: 101/2021 Author name: Görtz C; Yeromonahos M Year: 2021 Month: December
  • Görtz
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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28 February 2017

The Australian Macro Database: An Online Resource for Macroeconomic Research in Australia

Vol: 15/2017 Authors: Timur Behlul, Anastasios Panagiotelis, George Athanasopoulos, Rob J Hyndman, Farshid Vahid Month: February Year: 2017
  • Vahid
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics
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06 July 2016

Reconciling Output Gaps: Unobserved Components Model and Hodrick-Prescott Filter

Vol: 44/2016 Authors: Joshua C.C. Chan, Angelia L. Grant Month: July Year: 2016
  • Chan
  • Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics