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Market volatility, ageing and policies: what is shaping the income distribution in Australia between 2002 and 2016

Crawford School of Public Policy | Arndt-Corden Department of Economics

Event details

ACDE Seminar

Date & time

Tuesday 28 August 2018
2.00pm–3.30pm

Venue

Seminar Room 2, Crawford Building, Lennox Crossing, ANU

Speaker

Hai Anh La, University of Canberra and ANU

Contacts

Ross McLeod

Income inequality, as well as the role of the tax-benefit system in mitigating inequality, has attracted considerable attention during the past decade. While inequality in Australia has not changed dramatically, several factors have contributed to fluctuations in it. The paper examines the effect of four main factors (policy, market income, demography and other) on changes in income inequality in Australia between 2002 and 2016 using the HILDA surveys and adopting an extended decomposition framework. The decomposition separates the contribution of each factor by comparing the current income distribution with that calculated in the counterfactual where marginal changes in each of the factors are introduced. For each counterfactual, the paper uses the tax-transfer STINMOD+ model to simulate household disposable income based on the corresponding tax and social transfer rules in Australia. Our results suggest that the main driver of higher inequality is market income, while ageing is a consistent factor reducing inequality.

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